A Balaton régió népességdinamikája 2017-2062 között

Absztrakt

The present study is about the population projection of the settlements of the Balaton Region (BKÜ) by 2062, taking into account 180 settlements. The results are presented for the main age groups of the Region, at 5-year intervals, and broken down as follows: 18 cities, Coastal villages (group of 39 settlements), non-coastal villages (group of 123 settlements). The last research report on which this study is based was produced in 2017. For the 2 years since then, we can also identify deviations from previously forecasted processes. Using another method, we check the reliability of the previous prediction.

The population projection shows that the population of the resort area will fall to 184,000 by 2062, and the proportion of the population over the age of 65 will reach or even exceed 35%. In addition to the aging of the villages, the depopulation of dwarf villages further away from the coast poses a serious problem.